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DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES: HOW DEEPLY INTEGRATED? |
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Globalization
means that world trade and financial markets are becoming
more integrated. But just how far have developing
countries been involved in this integration? Their
experience in catching up with the advanced economies has
been mixed. A larger number of developing countries have
made only slow progress or have lost ground. In particular,
per capita incomes in Africa have declined relative to the
industrial countries and in some countries have declined
in absolute terms.
Consider
four aspects of globalization:
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Trade:
Developing countries as a whole have increased their
share of world trade–from 19 percent in 1971 to 29
percent in 1999. The composition of what countries
export is also important. The strongest rise by far
has been in the export of manufactured goods. The
share of primary commodities in world exports—such
as food and raw materials—that are often produced by
the poorest countries, has declined.
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Capital
movements: Direct foreign investment has become
the most important category. Both portfolio investment
and bank credit rose but they have been more volatile,
falling sharply in the wake of the financial crises of
the late 1990s.
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Movement
of people: Workers move from one country to another
partly to find better employment opportunities. The
numbers involved are still quite small, but in the
period 1965-90, the proportion of labor forces round
the world that was foreign born increased by about
one-half. Most migration occurs between developing
countries. But the flow of migrants to advanced
economies is likely to provide a means through which
global wages converge. There is also the potential for
skills to be transferred back to the developing
countries and for wages in those countries to rise.
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Spread
of knowledge (and technology): Information exchange is
an integral, often overlooked, aspect of globalization.
For instance, direct foreign investment brings not
only an expansion of the physical capital stock, but
also technical innovation. More generally, knowledge
about production methods, management techniques,
export markets and economic policies is available at
very low cost, and it represents a highly valuable
resource for the developing countries.
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The
special case of the economies in transition from planned
to market economies—they too are becoming more
integrated with the global economy—is not explored in
much depth here. In fact, the term "transition
economy" is losing its usefulness. Some countries
(e.g. Poland, Hungary) are converging quite rapidly toward
the structure and performance of advanced economies.
Others (such as most countries of the former Soviet Union)
face long-term structural and institutional issues similar
to those faced by developing countries.
By

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