Globalization
is not just a recent phenomenon. Some analysts have argued
that the world economy was just as globalized 100 years
ago as it is today. But today commerce and financial
services are far more developed and deeply integrated than
they were at that time. The most striking aspect of this
has been the integration of financial markets made
possible by modern electronic communication.
The 20th
century saw unparalleled economic growth, with global per
capita GDP increasing almost five-fold. But this growth
was not steady—the strongest expansion came during the
second half of the century, a period of rapid trade
expansion accompanied by trade—and typically somewhat
later, financial—liberalization. In the inter-war era,
the world turned its back on internationalism—or
globalization as we now call it—and countries retreated
into closed economies, protectionism and pervasive capital
controls. This was a major factor in the devastation of
this period, when per capita income growth fell to less
than 1 percent during 1913-1950. For the rest of the
century, even though population grew at an unprecedented
pace, per capita income growth was over 2 percent, the
fastest pace of all coming during the post-World War boom
in the industrial countries.
The
story of the 20th century was of remarkable
average income growth, but it is also quite obvious that
the progress was not evenly dispersed. The gaps between
rich and poor countries, and rich and poor people within
countries, have grown. The richest quarter of the world’s
population saw its per capita GDP increase nearly six-fold
during the century, while the poorest quarter experienced
less than a three-fold increase. Income inequality has
clearly increased. But, as noted below, per capita GDP
does not tell the whole story.
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